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May 23, 2021 | 10 minute read

Tags: college crisis, college enrollment, college mergers, enrollment decline, ethics in education, ethics in enrollment

Colleges face reckoning as plummeting birthrate worsens enrollment declines

Because of a falloff in the number of births during the last recession, another drop of from 11 to 15 percent is projected beginning in the mid-2020s in the number of prospective college students graduating from high schools. Now grim new birthrate data reflecting conceptions that mostly preceded the pandemic adds to the dire predictions — and worse may be ahead, according to early signs of an even sharper drop since then in people having children.

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